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Stock market is due for a correction - Persuade Me otherwise
in Investments
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stock market has gone up exponentially over time.
Whenever stocks hit all time high, many get concerned about a bubble. Most of the time they are wrong, and it goes higher. that explains the fact that it grows so much over time.
unless you have a great reason to think specifically it is more overvalued than other parts of history you will just likely end up making a wrong bet.
we have a strong economy with low unemployment, low interest rates, and good prospects driven my significant technology improvements.
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Consider this. A certain stock becomes overevaluated, as investors see it as promising and put a lot of finances into it. Eventually it becomes very expensive to invest in. Investments drop, and the evaluated stock value growth slows down.
Seeing the growth slowing down, the investors start anticipating the stock value peaking. Before that happens, they start selling their shares to make as much profit as possible, before the shares start dropping in price. As this happens, the stock value starts plunging due to investors pulling their money out of it. This process continues for a while, before stock value becomes underestimated.
At that point, seeing the stocks drop in value and approaching the peak bottom value, people start investing in the stock to be able to cash in on the expected growth.
This process continues back and forth, around a certain central value that is as close to the objective stock value as possible. The market keeps correcting overestimations and underestimations, as people try to profit off them and push the market against the current trend.
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This self-correcting effect is the essence of most stock and currency trading strategies. The strategies are typically based on selling items near the peak overestimation point, and buying them near the peak underestimation point. Learning to predict where those points will be is the surest way to ensure a consistent and substantial profit.
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